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Consider the following simple model for a communication channel with
input X and output Y.
As indicated, the transition probabilities are

The transmission probabilities are P(X=0)=0.6 and P(X=1)=0.4,
respectively.
- 1.
- Assume that Y=0 was observed.
What is the probability that X=0 was transmitted?
What is the probability that X=1 was transmitted?
- 2.
- If Y=0 wass observed which is more likely, X=0 was
transmitted or X=1 was transmitted?
- 3.
- Repeat part a) under the assumption that Y=1 was observed.
- 4.
- Based on the observation of the output Y, a receiver for the
above channel has to decide whether X=0
or X=1 was transmitted.
For that purpose, it employs decision rules of the
form:
``If Y=a was observed then X=b was most likely transmitted.''
Specify ``reasonable'' decision rules for the two possible values of Y.
- 5.
- Receivers are measured by the probability of making a wrong
decision.
More precisely, the probability of error Pe is defined as

Find the probability of error for your receiver from part d).
Prof. Bernd-Peter Paris
3/2/1998